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Fact-check log

Every sourced claim on this site, with the page it was checked against on 14 November 2026. We quote Encyclopaedia Britannica article bodies, not any "Ask Anything" or "Top Questions" boxes. Wikipedia is not used as a source. The 1755 Richmann protocol is discussed through Keul's 2021 reading of it.

How big, and for how long?

Good sources do not give one settled typical size or lifetime. Encyclopaedia Britannica says ball lightning is generally several centimetres in diameter and normally lasts only a few seconds. The Royal Meteorological Society, citing other accounts, says it ranges from a golf ball to a small car and lasts between a few seconds and a couple of minutes. Abrahamson and Dinniss, writing of an “average” ball lightning, give a diameter of 300 mm and a lifetime of about 10 s. Cen, Yuan and Xue, summarising earlier reports, give a diameter between 1 and 100 cm, and their own 2012 event lasted 1.64 s. This site sets the figures side by side and does not pick a single typical size or time.

Which idea is “leading”?

The 2013 Royal Meteorological Society article calls the atmospheric maser theory the prevailing physical theory, and says it would still need to be reproduced in a laboratory. A 2025 Met Office note says the leading hypothesis is that the luminous sphere could be a bubble of glowing soil particles formed when lightning hits the ground, which sits close to the silicon-nanoparticle model of Abrahamson and Dinniss (2000) and to the 2014 spectrum of Cen, Yuan and Xue, who found soil-element lines (silicon, iron and calcium) for the whole lifetime of one natural event. Those later papers also warn that there may be more than one type, and that one event may not represent all ball lightning. This site does not crown a single leading theory.

Are scientists sure it exists?

The 2013 Royal Meteorological Society article says some scientists have studied ball lightning for decades and still are not sure whether it exists, and records the sceptical suggestion that it may be a positive after-image of an ordinary flash. Keul (2021) notes a 2005 COST Action consensus that “the reality of ball lightning is not in doubt,” and quotes Rakov and Uman on numerous witness reports but little scientific documentation — before the 2012 spectrum was published. The 2014 paper reports one well-instrumented natural event. This site reports those positions together and does not settle the argument.

How many written accounts?

The Royal Meteorological Society says there are more than 10,000 written accounts. Keul (2021), citing Rakov and Uman (2003), says they counted almost 5,000 observation reports. The figures are years apart and are not a precise census. This site quotes each source and does not treat either number as exact.

The death of Georg Wilhelm Richmann, 1753

Richmann is a citation classic in ball lightning writing: he was electrocuted in St Petersburg in 1753 during work on atmospheric electricity, and a popular engraving later pictured a lightning ball hitting him. Keul (2021), reading the 1755 investigation protocol with autopsy results (Philosophical Transactions, Anonymous, 1755, pp. 64–68), says it is obvious that it was a conventional lightning accident caused by a non-grounded conductor, and that ordinary cloud-to-ground strokes fed a deadly popular image of ball lightning. This site does not treat the 1753 death as a proven ball-lightning case.